Tunisia
World CupWhy this tip?
A review of past performance data suggests that a correct score of 3-1 in favor of Netherlands would be very plausible. The Netherlands have been successful in securing victories with multiple goals but their ability to maintain clean sheets has made achieving a shutout extremely difficult. Tunisia is likely going to attempt to save face and possibly surprise the Dutch defense with either a set piece or quick counterattack as Japan was able to accomplish.
Match details
- Competition: FIFA World Cup 2026
- Matchday: 3 (Group F)
- Date: Friday, 26 June 2026
- Kick-off time in EAT: 02:00 AM EAT
- Venue: Kansas City Stadium (GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium), Kansas City, USA
Why this match matters
A match which could prove to be extremely damaging for either side if they fail to pick up maximum points. Both teams appear to be vulnerable defensively, therefore it would be wise to consider using a number of aggressive best selections on the total amount of goals, as both sides were very open and attacking orientated in their opening group stages.
Tunisia vs Netherlands head-to-head stats
Previous meetings
- No previous official match records available between Tunisia and Netherlands H2H
Head-to-head record
Tunisia recent form
Tunisia ‘s last five matches
- Tunisia vs Japan 0:4
- Sweden vs Tunisia 5:1
- Austria vs Tunisia 1:0
- Canada vs Tunisia 0:0
- Haiti vs Tunisia 0:1
Goals scored and conceded
Tunisia have had some poor results defending in recent times. The worst statistic that may worry their coach Hervé Renard, who replaced former manager Mondher Kebaier immediately after the shock 5-1 loss to Sweden, is that they let in 5 goals and only scored one themselves in the opening match of their tournament. They also allowed 5 against Belgium and only 1 against Austria prior to this in friendly internationals and warm-up competitions. This clearly shows a major weakness in their defending particularly against top class European opponents.
They also haven’t shown much attacking prowess in recent times either, having gone without a shot on target against Belgium, Austria and Canada in friendly internationals and warm-up competitions respectively. A lone goal was scored by Omar Rekik (defender) against Sweden which again highlights the lack of potency among the main attackers.
Key trends from recent matches
One of the most notable trends associated with Tunisia currently is their ongoing three-match losing run internationally which prompted a surprise change in the coach’s job. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last five competitive matches therefore we should expect a high number of goals being scored. Additionally, when Tunisia compete against higher quality opponents than they normally do they withdraw their defenders to the back four however they still manage to concede a few goals during the latter part of the game.
On a more optimistic note for other types of bets Tunisia have experienced over 3.5 goals being landed in each of their previous two competitive matches as a result of their inability to defend properly.
Netherlands recent form
Netherlands ‘s last five matches
- Netherlands vs Sweden 5:1
- Netherlands vs Japan 2:2
- Netherlands vs Uzbekistan 2:1
- Netherlands vs Algeria 0:1
- Netherlands vs Ecuador 1:1
Goals scored and conceded
The Netherlands possess one of the best frontlines going into the 2026 World Cup, however their backline has a tendency to leak goals which makes them a potential source of goals based bets. Prior to this 2026 campaign the Dutch drew 2-2 with Japan after scoring 2 goals themselves. As previously mentioned the Dutch are accustomed to producing exciting, free flowing football therefore we would anticipate another similar performance here.
In addition to their attacking strength, the Dutch have struggled to prevent the ball from entering their net, a problem that has occurred frequently enough in recent times to suggest that they will continue to leak goals at some point during the campaign. Before the commencement of the 2026 World Cup, the Dutch earned a 2-1 win over Uzbekistan; however they lost 1-0 to Algeria, which demonstrates that they can sometimes be held off by well organized defenses.
Key trends from recent matches
Netherlands have developed a consistent trend of participating in games where both teams find the back of the net; this trend has now occurred in four of their last five games. In addition, although they did fall behind against Japan, they demonstrated good character and determination to equalize and earn a point in each of their last two games. The Dutch generally control large portions of the possession and create opportunities through corner kicks and shots on target.
Another characteristic of the Oranje is that they usually start strongly and force an early save or score within the initial 30 minutes of the match.
Team news
Tunisia team news
Hannibal Mejbri, the midfield engine for Tunisia, is Tunisia’s best hope for creating something positive from the home base. In addition to being able to create chances, he also tracks well and can help provide width from the midfield position. Rekik continues to be a major force in the central defense area, and he played well, creating Tunisia’s only goal. Hervé Renard is expected to go into a more compact defensive shape to protect Tunisia goalkeeper Aymen Dahmen. Dahmen had a nightmare first match, with a broken back four. As such, the technical staff expects more direct running from their wingers to alleviate pressure on the defense.
Netherlands team news
Ryan Gravenberch will miss the next match because of an injury suffered in training. Gravenberch was vital in helping the Netherlands draw with Japan and created two assists. His physical presence in the middle of the field will be greatly missed by Koeman. Van Hecke still isn’t playing due to a long-term physical issue. With Gravenberch absent, Frenkie de Jong will carry more responsibility for dictating the pace of the game. De Jong will likely partner with Tijjani Reijnders. Cody Gakpo and Crysencio Summerville will share the load of creating attacks up front. Summerville scored in the opener. Denzel Dumfries will continue to serve as an attacking outlet from the right side, using the chemistry he shares with the forward line to do so.
Predicted lineups
Tunisia predicted XI
Tunisia probable XI: Dahmen, Valery, Rekik, Talbi, Bronn, Abdi, Mejbri, Skhiri, Ben Slimane, Saad, Tounekti
Netherlands predicted XI
- Netherlands probable XI: Verbruggen, Dumfries, Van Hecke, Van Dijk, Van de Ven, Gravenberch, De Jong, Reijnders, Malen, Brobbey, Gakpo
Best betting markets for Tunisia vs Netherlands
Tip 1 – Netherlands Win and Over 2.5 Goals
The Dutch have an abundance of quality up front to find openings in the Tunisian defense that has allowed ten goals already. It is reasonable to expect them to get all three points in a game that will easily pass the two-goal mark.
Tip 2 – GG – Both Teams to Score
Although the Netherlands clearly dominate this matchup, their defense has a tendency to “turn-off” when they feel comfortable in a contest, as evidenced against Japan. Tunisia possesses counter-attacking speed through Mejbri and Achouri to steal a goal away from the short-handed Dutch midfield.
Tip 3 – Over 8.5 Corners
Netherlands’ fullbacks are used extensively to pull opposing defenders wide, resulting in numerous deflected passes and corner kick attempts. When combined with Tunisia hastily clearing balls out of danger, it is easy to see why there could be many corners awarded in this matchup.
Tip 4 – Netherlands to Score in Both Halves
As they seek a much-needed point to salvage their World Cup campaign, the Oranje will come out aggressively from kickoff. They have enough players on their bench to ensure they remain a threat as a scoring unit late into the second half versus a fatigued Tunisian backline.
Where to bet on Tunisia vs Netherlands
Tunisia vs Netherlands prediction
Best bet
The most logical bet for this matchup would be for you to wager on both the Netherlands winning and having a large amount of total goals. There is a significant difference in skill levels between these two teams and their league structure and overall international experience. Tunisia is attempting to rapidly implement a new system under new coaching while competing against top level competition; this does not often result in defensive solidity immediately.
Although losing midfielder Gravenberch may cause some difficulty for Netherlands in terms of their transitions moving upfield, Reijnders and de Jong have proven themselves capable of maintaining control of the ball. Expect Netherlands to continually target the wide areas through Dumfries and Gakpo, repeatedly swarm the Tunisian penalty box and earn a convincing victor
Correct score prediction
A review of past performance data suggests that a correct score of 3-1 in favor of Netherlands would be very plausible. The Netherlands have been successful in securing victories with multiple goals but their ability to maintain clean sheets has made achieving a shutout extremely difficult. Tunisia is likely going to attempt to save face and possibly surprise the Dutch defense with either a set piece or quick counterattack as Japan was able to accomplish.
However, I believe that Netherlands will eventually wear down Tunisia throughout the entire 90 minutes.
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