Football Prediction
Bayern Munich will be hosting Real Madrid in the first leg of this year’s UEFA Champions League semi-final at the Allianz Arena on Tuesday night.
Odds by MozzartBet
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This will be the 27th time both teams will be going head-to-head in the Champions League/European Cup, making it the most-played fixture in competition history. Thomas Tuchel’s troops navigated their way past Arsenal in the last eight, while the 14-time winners of Europe’s premier tournament eliminated holders Manchester City in a nerve-jangling penalty shootout.
H2H / Stats
There have been epic battles over the years, with Bayern dominating the early meetings by winning nine of the first 13 and losing just three. This struck fear into Los Blancos supporters, who nicknamed them ‘La Bestia Negra’ (the Black Beast, a term to describe a feared opponent).
Bayern’s dominance of this fixture was maintained until the 2002 quarter-finals second leg, where they lost 2-0 after winning the opening leg 2-1. Since then, the Spaniards have enjoyed this fixture the most, with Real losing just two of the 13 meetings since their 2002 first-leg defeat in Munich. Even then, Bayern still knocked Real Madrid out of the Champions League twice, beating them on away goals after a 4-4 aggregate draw in the 2007 round of 16 and on penalties in the 2012 semi-finals after the two legs finished 3-3.
Team News
Alphonso Davies is back available for Bayern Munich after missing the club’s last outing in the competition against Arsenal due to suspension. They have long term absentees though in Sacha Boey (hip), Gabriel Marusic (ACL), Bouna Sarr (ACL) and Tarek Buchmann (hamstring), and while none of the quartet should have started this one anyway, Tuchel is also working around an injury crisis with a plethora of first-team regulars.
Konrad Laimer and Matthijs de Ligt were both victims of the win over Frankfurt with ankle and knee issues respectively, but Tuchel is keeping his fingers crossed that the pair will make it for the first leg. Jamal Musiala – absent at the weekend with tendon pain – is in the same boat. Also taking up beds in the overcrowded Bayern infirmary are Leroy Sane (groin), Serge Gnabry (hamstring), Dayot Upamecano (ankle) and Kingsley Coman (groin), although only the latter will definitely miss the first leg as of now.
Real Madrid’s medical bay is nowhere near as packed as their hosts’, and Ancelotti is expected to receive a major boost with the anticipated return of Jude Bellingham, rested for the duel with Sociedad due to a sickness bug. Rodrygo (illness) and Ferland Mendy (fatigue) have also recovered from their own afflictions, leaving knee victims Courtois and David Alaba as the only occupants of the Bernabeu treatment room, and the former could even return for the showdown with Cadiz on May 4.
Probable Line-Up
Bayern Munich XI: Neuer (GK), Kimmich, Kim, Dier, Davies; Goretzka, Pavlovic, Muller, Musiala, Gnabry, Kane
Real Madrid XI: Lunin (GK), Vazquez, Rudiger, Tchouameni, Mendy,Valverde, Camavinga, Kroos, Bellingham, Rodrygo, Vinicius Junior
Verdict
Real Madrid were counting their lucky stars to come away with all three points from their battle with Sociedad, but Ancelotti saw fit to rest many of his first-team regulars, and there is no doubt which semi-finalist will be in better shape on Tuesday.
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Extra tips 👇
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Check out our Jackpot predictions.
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